The P&C Market in 2024: A Year of Milestones
The Property & Casualty (P&C) insurance market reached new highs and historic milestones in 2024, surpassing $1 trillion in total premiums and exceeding $100 billion in Excess & Surplus (E&S) premiums. This remarkable growth reflects the industry’s resilience, strategic shifts and the evolving landscape of risk management.
Here’s some highlights from NAIC bluebook and PIPSO data:
Independent Agency channel in the lead but Direct most profitable
- The independent agency channel continued to hold the majority share of the market, accounting for approximately 55% of total premiums. After some rebalancing during the 2018-2022 period, the Direct, Exclusive Agencies and Independent agency mix stabilized at present levels.
- Independent agencies also demonstrated superior claims performance compared to the Exclusive Agency and Direct channels (7 and 2 percentage points of direct loss ratio respectively), reinforcing their value proposition in the industry. Yet again, Direct outperformed in terms of combined ratio performance, given its cost-light structure.
Personal Lines Outpaces Commercial Growth
- Personal lines experienced a 14% year-over-year (YoY) growth, driven primarily by rates hardening, while commercial lines segment recorded a more modest 5% YoY increase. Beyond rates changes, the surge in personal lines also underscores the increasing demand for individual coverage.
- Profitability showed improvement in personal lines, with market-wide combined ratio dropping by five percentage points from 2023, reaching just below 98%. Conversely, commercial lines faced increased loss ratios, with combined ratio deteriorating by 2% YoY to reach 96% in 2024.
Market Share Shifts Among Industry Leaders
In personal lines…
- Market leaders State Farm and Progressive solidified their dominance by expanding their market shares.
- Meanwhile, Liberty Mutual, Berkshire Hathaway/GEICO, and Farmers saw declines in their shares, indicating shifting strategic positioning and willingness to take risk in cat-impacted areas
On the commercial side…
- Travelers emerged as the top player, overtaking Chubb for the #1 position. Other notable market share gains were made by Hartford, Progressive, and State Farm.
- In contrast, Nationwide, Chubb, and Liberty Mutual experienced declines in their respective market shares, reflecting competitive pressures and changing underwriting strategies.
Geographic Hotspots of Growth
- From a regional perspective, the fastest-growing P&C markets were in the Far West, particularly in California and Washington.
- The Southeast – with states like Georgia and Florida – and the Rockies – including Colorado and Utah – also saw significant growth.
- The Mideast region, covering New York and New Jersey, and the Plains states experienced more moderate premium increases.
Our takeaway
As the P&C insurance industry moves forward, the 2024 landscape reflects an environment of rapid expansion, shifting competitive dynamics and evolving risk factors. With independent agencies continuing to play a leading role and market leaders reshuffling their positions, the industry is poised for further transformation in the years ahead.
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